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Foresight futures
Keep an eye, too, on the future of Practical Foresight so that you stay current and
don't fall behing in this, one of your key areas of future intelligence.
Here's our view of how foresight has changed in the past few decades and
how it could over the next five years. But, remember, this is not a prediction
but our provisional view of what we think is the most likely scenario.
Fourth generation (Collaborative Foresight)¹
Social networking
Third generation (Trend-based foresight)²
Approaches on Policy and Decision-Making – Seville 28-29 September 2006 Corporate Foresight in Europe
Further reference
Next: Futuring Methods Back: Management Review To: Shaping Tomorrow
Copyright: Some rights reserved. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.
don't fall behing in this, one of your key areas of future intelligence.
Here's our view of how foresight has changed in the past few decades and
how it could over the next five years. But, remember, this is not a prediction
but our provisional view of what we think is the most likely scenario.
Fourth generation (Collaborative Foresight)¹Social networking
- Social interaction (tagging, commenting, ideation, narrative analysis)
- Global sourcing/outsourcing/global scouting
- Virtual worlds
- Expert panel portals
- Prediction markets
- Integration with business and competitive intelligence
- Shared futures databases/benchmarking/networks
- Surprise and serendipitous discovery
- Integrated tools and methods
- Automated scan hit finding
- From text to searchable video
- Web-based modelling and simulation
- Integration with business and competitive intelligence
- Surprise and serendipitous discovery
- Fast action/reaction/low cost/high value added
Third generation (Trend-based foresight)²
- Horizon scanning
- Trends
- Weak signals
- Indicators
- Reacting to change
- Trend databases
- Monitoring systems
- Quantitative/qualitative modelling
- Extrapolation
- Systems
- Hard science
- Calculating change
- Models and matrices
- Expertise
- Qualitative modelling
- Soft sciences
- Change exploration
- Delphi studies
- Roadmapping
- Scenarios
Approaches on Policy and Decision-Making – Seville 28-29 September 2006 Corporate Foresight in Europe
Further reference
Next: Futuring Methods Back: Management Review To: Shaping Tomorrow
Copyright: Some rights reserved. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.
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