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Future Practices
Managing uncertainty
In a world where only uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity seem to be the norm these days, organisations need wider global knowledge obtained from many more external sources and a new set of cognitive skills to determine their best future responses.
The following critical cognitive skills need to be mastered:
Next practice
Leading organisations use systematic, collaborative and strategic foresight capabilities to discover what's coming next and respond ahead of the competitive curve.
They adopt a transdisciplinary systems-science based approach to analysing patterns of change in the past, identifying trends of change in the present and extrapolating alternative views of possible change in the future in order to help create the futures they desire.
These science based approaches span five main areas:
This guide serves as a documented description of how our clients, and others well known to us, achieve successful outcomes, avoid upcoming risk, innovate and thus create next practice through practical collaborative foresight.
Further references
Next: Future Challenges Back: Changing Futures To: Shaping Tomorrow
Copyright: Some rights reserved. This work is licenced under a Creative Commons Licence.
In a world where only uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity seem to be the norm these days, organisations need wider global knowledge obtained from many more external sources and a new set of cognitive skills to determine their best future responses.The following critical cognitive skills need to be mastered:
- trend assessment: the competency to understand trend directions assess likely impacts and respond in a timely and appropriate manner,
- pattern recognition: the ability to see patterns rather than individual factor,
- systems perspective: the capability to envision the entire system rather than the isolated components,
- anticipation: to anticipate short and long term consequences over time, novel situations and geography, and
- instinct and logic: to rely on a combination of instincts and logic rather than purely rational analysis.
Next practice
Leading organisations use systematic, collaborative and strategic foresight capabilities to discover what's coming next and respond ahead of the competitive curve.
They adopt a transdisciplinary systems-science based approach to analysing patterns of change in the past, identifying trends of change in the present and extrapolating alternative views of possible change in the future in order to help create the futures they desire.
These science based approaches span five main areas:
- Trend assessment: open source data collection and information monitoring
- Pattern recognition: natural language and visualisation methods
- Systems analysis: scenario planning and other methods create context and understanding
- Anticipatory planning: modelling of the desired/current state and gap identification
- Instinct and logic: collaborative design of anticipatory understanding and response
This guide serves as a documented description of how our clients, and others well known to us, achieve successful outcomes, avoid upcoming risk, innovate and thus create next practice through practical collaborative foresight.
Further references
- Are you fit for tomorrow?
- Discover the future
- Guide to futures thinking
- Five Views Of The Future
- Futures Studies: An Overview of Basic Concepts
Next: Future Challenges Back: Changing Futures To: Shaping Tomorrow
Copyright: Some rights reserved. This work is licenced under a Creative Commons Licence.
thryller |
Latest page update: made by thryller
, Nov 8 2008, 12:47 PM EST
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Keyword tags:
Ambiguity
Anticipation
Change
Complexity
Foresight
Futures
Futures thinking
Instinct
Logic
Pattern
Perspective
Strategy
System
Trends
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