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Futuring Methods
There are many more futures methods available than most people realise. They cover Creative, Descriptive, Statistical, Opinion, Monitoring, Scenarios, Analytical, Decision and Modelling methods.
Before starting a project or programme examine the different methods for which will best achieve the desired outcomes. A mix of quantitative and qualitative methods should be chosen. Methods and tools that allow one to combine different approaches are especially suitable. A methodological competence should be built up within the organisation and shared with the users; this is the task of the corporate foresight manager.
We have a listing of many more methods and detailed descriptions of those above. Spend time examining the pros and cons of each before jumping to a previous solution or one you have heard of in passing.
Methods used here
- Backcasting: works backwards from a vision to the present day (available in Plan & Act)
- Citation analysis: the examination of the frequency and pattern of citations in articles and books
- Citizen panels: virtual or conference based activity to uncover public concerns on critical issues
- Content analysis: methodology in the social sciences for studying the content of communication
- Cross-impact analysis: examines relationships and cross-overs between issues
- Delphi analysis: uses human judgement to generate forecasts. (available as Custom Services)
- Driving force: determines critical drivers and creating alternate futures
- Horizon scanning: systematically searches for emerging issues
- Narrative analysis: metadata mapping of folksonomies, user comments and tagging
- Organisational storytelling: develops evocative narratives to convey core messages
- PEST: active analysis of forces affecting an issue(s) environmental scanning
- Scenario planning: explores possible, preferable futures. (available in Plan & Act) future
- Stakeholder analysis: aims to identify the stakeholders that are likely to be affected by activities
- SWOT: identifies future opportunities, strengths, risks and threats
- Technology roadmapping: roadmapping aids planning and placing products in time order
- Trend analysis: extrapolates past trends into the future
- Visioning: sets a success criteria from which all other actions spring
- Foresight: Horizon Scanning Centre
- Designing the methodology
- Futures Research Methodology
- Individual Tools
- Futures Concepts and Powerful Ideas
- Futures Tools and Techniques
- Questioning the Future
- Futures: multidisciplinary studies of patterns to determine the likelihood of future trends
- Knowledge Base Of Futures Studies
- So what? Implications and Impacts
- Managing – how could the future develop differently?
- What alternative futures exist?
If we do not appear to currently provide a method that suits your purpose please contact us for a free discussion on how we can integrate your needs into the system using the free-form message box below (e.g. gaming, modelling, simulation, system mapping).
Next: Foresight Management Back: Stakeholder Management To: Shaping Tomorrow
Copyright: Some rights reserved. This work is licenced under a Creative Commons Licence.
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thryller |
Latest page update: made by thryller
, Nov 8 2008, 12:54 PM EST
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Keyword tags:
Backcasting
Citation analysis
Citizens panels
Cross-impact
Delphi
Horizon scanning
Narrative analysis
Organisational storytelling
PEST
Scenario planning
Stakeholder analysis
SWOT
Technology roadmapping
Trend analysis
Visioning
More Info: links to this page
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